Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000132 0.000145 0.000159 0.000175 0.000193 0.000213 0.000235
2025-11-09 0.000106 0.000125 0.000148 0.000175 0.000209 0.000248 0.000299
2025-11-16 0.000089 0.000111 0.000137 0.000172 0.000218 0.000275 0.000353
2025-11-23 0.000077 0.000099 0.000128 0.000168 0.000222 0.000295 0.000401
2025-11-30 0.000070 0.000094 0.000125 0.000171 0.000235 0.000326 0.000466
2025-12-07 0.000065 0.000089 0.000123 0.000174 0.000249 0.000360 0.000537
2025-12-14 0.000059 0.000083 0.000117 0.000170 0.000253 0.000377 0.000587
2025-12-21 0.000052 0.000076 0.000110 0.000164 0.000250 0.000386 0.000623
2025-12-28 0.000049 0.000073 0.000108 0.000165 0.000259 0.000412 0.000691
2026-01-04 0.000046 0.000070 0.000106 0.000166 0.000268 0.000440 0.000765
2026-01-11 0.000043 0.000066 0.000102 0.000164 0.000271 0.000458 0.000822
2026-01-18 0.000041 0.000064 0.000100 0.000165 0.000280 0.000486 0.000904
2026-01-25 0.000038 0.000060 0.000097 0.000163 0.000284 0.000507 0.000976
2026-02-01 0.000036 0.000058 0.000094 0.000162 0.000291 0.000535 0.001069
2026-02-08 0.000033 0.000055 0.000091 0.000160 0.000293 0.000555 0.001147
2026-02-15 0.000031 0.000051 0.000087 0.000156 0.000293 0.000568 0.001212
2026-02-22 0.000030 0.000050 0.000087 0.000158 0.000304 0.000608 0.001345
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000049 0.000086 0.000161 0.000318 0.000654 0.001499
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000047 0.000083 0.000158 0.000318 0.000670 0.001585
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000044 0.000079 0.000152 0.000312 0.000672 0.001633
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000043 0.000078 0.000153 0.000321 0.000707 0.001776
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000041 0.000077 0.000154 0.000330 0.000746 0.001935
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000152 0.000331 0.000766 0.002047